Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
50.82% ( -0.28) | 26.3% ( 0.04) | 22.88% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 45.92% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.64% ( 0.06) | 57.36% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.82% ( 0.05) | 78.18% ( -0.05) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% ( -0.1) | 22.67% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.69% ( -0.15) | 56.31% ( 0.14) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.38% ( 0.27) | 40.62% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.79% ( 0.25) | 77.21% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.81% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |