La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 24, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Villarreal

Perez (16')
Garcia (18'), Camello (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sorloth (15')
Moreno (62'), Comesana (73')
Moreno (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Alaves
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-0 Villarreal
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Villarreal

Rayo will certainly be the fresher outfit, but the majority of the players that started for Villarreal on Thursday will not be in their XI for this match. We actually fancy a low-scoring draw in this contest, which would not be the worst result in the world for either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Villarreal
36.76% ( 1.16)	25.98% ( 0.23)	37.25% ( -1.39)

Both teams to score 54.31% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.92% (

-0.95)

50.07% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.95% (

-0.86)

72.05% (

0.85)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

0.22)

26.44% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38% (

0.29)

61.61% (

-0.29)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

-1.21)

26.16% (

1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75% (

-1.65)

61.24% (

1.64)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 36.76%

Villarreal 37.25%

Draw 25.97%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.76%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.25%