MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 03:50:30| >> :600:2477618:2477618:
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Nou Estadi Castalia
Osauna logo

Castellon
0 - 1
Osasuna


Jimenez (16'), Schreuder (17'), Indias (37'), de Leon (102'), Chirino (114'), Medunjanin (119')
FT
(aet)
Arnaiz (108')
Torro (46'), Budimir (119')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Castellon and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Castellon

All competitions
Last Game: Castellon 2-1 Real Oviedo
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Osasuna

All competitions
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Almeria
Thursday, January 4 at 4pm in La Liga

We say: Castellon 0-1 Osasuna

 The sides met in the first round back in 2004, with Osasuna coming out narrow 1-0 winners after extra time, and despite the gulf in positions on the pyramid, this could go in similar fashion. Castellon are in superb form in the third tier, but the class of the La Liga outfit should shine through, and last year's finalists are likely to book their place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Castellon win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%).

Result
CastellonDrawOsasuna
29.48% (-0.623 -0.62) 24.61% (0.155 0.16) 45.91% (0.465 0.46)
Both teams to score 56.66% (-0.911 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-1.028 -1.03)46.02% (1.025 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.981 -0.98)68.32% (0.977 0.98)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (-0.946 -0.95)29.05% (0.943 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.04% (-1.184 -1.18)64.96% (1.182 1.18)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)20.13% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.6% (-0.349 -0.35)52.4% (0.346 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Castellon 29.48%
    Osasuna 45.91%
    Draw 24.6%
CastellonDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.125 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.48%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.341 0.34)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.01% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 45.91%

How you voted: Castellon vs Osasuna

Castellon
13.0%
Draw
13.0%
Osasuna
73.9%
23
rhs 2.0
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