Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
May 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga3 - 0Castellon
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Castellon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.45%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (12.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Castellon |
| 37.49% | 30.33% | 32.18% |
| Both teams to score 41.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
