Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Osasuna |
58.05% ( -0.21) | 21.72% ( 0.11) | 20.23% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 56.32% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( -0.37) | 41.8% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( -0.37) | 64.2% ( 0.37) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( -0.19) | 14.14% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.2% ( -0.37) | 41.79% ( 0.37) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.59% ( -0.12) | 34.41% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.88% ( -0.13) | 71.12% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Osasuna |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.05% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |