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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Osauna logo

Villarreal
3 - 1
Osasuna

Luis Morales (57', 71', 80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Catena (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zamora 1-2 Villarreal
Wednesday, November 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Osasuna

This is a really interesting match, as both sides will feel that they should be higher up the table. All eyes will be on Marcelino in his first league game since returning as Villarreal boss, and we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to edge a close and competitive contest this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawOsasuna
58.05% (-0.206 -0.21) 21.72% (0.113 0.11) 20.23% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.223 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (-0.37 -0.37)41.8% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.373 -0.37)64.2% (0.373 0.37)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-0.185 -0.19)14.14% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.2% (-0.366 -0.37)41.79% (0.367 0.37)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)34.41% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (-0.126 -0.13)71.12% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 58.05%
    Osasuna 20.23%
    Draw 21.72%
VillarrealDrawOsasuna
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.05%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.081 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 20.23%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Osasuna

Villarreal
61.0%
Draw
26.8%
Osasuna
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Osasuna
0-3
Villarreal
Chukwueze (14'), Luis Morales (85', 90+3')
Oct 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Villarreal
2-0
Osasuna
Danjuma (42', 52' pen.)
Mar 5, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 27
Osasuna
1-0
Villarreal
Avila (63')
Avila (74')
Oct 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Villarreal
1-2
Osasuna
Moreno (55')
Capoue (33')
Torro (26'), Avila (87')
Herrera (30'), Garcia (54'), Garcia (60'), Torro (86'), Avila (88')
Apr 11, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 30
Villarreal
1-2
Osasuna
Garcia (70' og.)
Moncayola (64'), Budimir (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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