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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Osauna logo

Villarreal
3 - 1
Osasuna

Luis Morales (57', 71', 80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Catena (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zamora 1-2 Villarreal
Wednesday, November 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, November 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Osasuna

This is a really interesting match, as both sides will feel that they should be higher up the table. All eyes will be on Marcelino in his first league game since returning as Villarreal boss, and we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to edge a close and competitive contest this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawOsasuna
58.05% (-0.206 -0.21) 21.72% (0.113 0.11) 20.23% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.223 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (-0.37 -0.37)41.8% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.373 -0.37)64.2% (0.373 0.37)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-0.185 -0.19)14.14% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.2% (-0.366 -0.37)41.79% (0.367 0.37)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)34.41% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (-0.126 -0.13)71.12% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 58.05%
    Osasuna 20.23%
    Draw 21.72%
VillarrealDrawOsasuna
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.05%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.081 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 20.23%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Osasuna

Villarreal
61.0%
Draw
26.8%
Osasuna
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Osasuna
0-3
Villarreal
Chukwueze (14'), Luis Morales (85', 90+3')
Oct 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Villarreal
2-0
Osasuna
Danjuma (42', 52' pen.)
Mar 5, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 27
Osasuna
1-0
Villarreal
Avila (63')
Avila (74')
Oct 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Villarreal
1-2
Osasuna
Moreno (55')
Capoue (33')
Torro (26'), Avila (87')
Herrera (30'), Garcia (54'), Garcia (60'), Torro (86'), Avila (88')
Apr 11, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 30
Villarreal
1-2
Osasuna
Garcia (70' og.)
Moncayola (64'), Budimir (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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