Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
39.06% ( 0.16) | 27.69% ( 0.01) | 33.26% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.69% ( -0.09) | 57.31% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.86% ( -0.07) | 78.14% ( 0.07) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% ( 0.05) | 28.56% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.65% ( 0.06) | 64.35% ( -0.07) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.82% ( -0.17) | 32.18% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.33% ( -0.19) | 68.67% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |