Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia0 - 1Flamengo
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Bahia and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahia 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, August 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Bragantino
Monday, August 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Monday, August 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Flamengo |
43.77% ( 0.04) | 26.63% ( -0.01) | 29.61% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.67% ( 0.04) | 54.33% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( 0.04) | 75.71% ( -0.03) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( 0.04) | 24.65% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.82% ( 0.05) | 59.18% ( -0.05) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.78% ( 0) | 33.22% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.17% ( 0) | 69.83% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 43.77%
Flamengo 29.61%
Draw 26.62%
| Bahia | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.77% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.61% |
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 8pm
