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Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena MRV
Corinthians

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Corinthians

Hulk (32' pen., 85' pen.)
Fuchs (24'), Santana (90+3')
Lyanco (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alberto (39')
Souza (82'), Lyanco (90+3'), Romero (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Gremio
Friday, July 26 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Corinthians

Both teams have fared similarly at the defensive end of the pitch but Atletico Mineiro have had the upper hand going forward and we fancy them to come out on top in what should be a keenly-contested affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawCorinthians
56.05% (-0.569 -0.57) 23.98% (0.18 0.18) 19.97% (0.39 0.39)
Both teams to score 48.68% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.222 -0.22)51.75% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.194 -0.19)73.52% (0.193 0.19)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (-0.294 -0.29)18.31% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (-0.503 -0.5)49.4% (0.501 0.5)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59% (0.297 0.3)40.4% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (0.266 0.27)77.02% (-0.267 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 56.05%
    Corinthians 19.97%
    Draw 23.98%
Atletico MineiroDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-0 @ 10.66% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.03% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.075 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Corinthians

Atletico Mineiro
Draw
Corinthians
Atletico Mineiro
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Corinthians
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 1
Corinthians
0-0
Atletico Mineiro
Oliveira (0'), Miguel (2'), Romero (28'), Fagner (31'), Raniele (32'), Alberto (45+6'), Matheuzinho (82'), Hugo (90+1'), Maycon (90+10')
Oliveira (0')
Battaglia (1'), Jemerson (22'), Hulk (51'), Everson (64'), Saravia (68')
Battaglia (45+4')
Nov 9, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 33
Corinthians
1-1
Atletico Mineiro
Romero (23')
Santos (88')
Paulinho (67')
Everson (19'), Jemerson (22'), Pedrinho (70'), Rabello (85')
Jul 8, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 14
Atletico Mineiro
0-1
Corinthians

Mariano (43'), Jemerson (50'), Battaglia (61')
Guedes (40')
Murillo (68'), Guedes (90+1')
Jun 1, 2023 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Corinthians
2-0
Atletico Mineiro
(Aggregate 0-0 | Corinthians win 3-1 on penalties)
Bidu (34'), Guedes (65')
Bidu (38')

Paulinho (35'), Rubens (57'), Hulk (70'), Everson (99')
Nov 13, 2022 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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