Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio La Asuncion
Ameliano0 - 0Libertad
Libertad win 4-3 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 Club Libertad (Sportivo Ameliano advance on penalties)
Libertad may be the more experienced side, but Sportivo showed they are worthy opponents last week, and we believe the home crowd's energy will help them maintain their nerve throughout this encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 43.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 28.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.64%) and 1-2 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Sportivo Ameliano win it was 1-0 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sportivo Ameliano | Draw | Club Libertad |
28.17% ( 0.39) | 28.41% ( -0.05) | 43.42% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 44.52% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.68% ( 0.31) | 61.32% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.77% ( 0.23) | 81.23% ( -0.23) |
| Sportivo Ameliano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.89% ( 0.5) | 38.11% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.12% ( 0.48) | 74.88% ( -0.48) |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% ( -0.04) | 28.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.29% ( -0.05) | 63.71% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Sportivo Ameliano 28.16%
Club Libertad 43.42%
Draw 28.4%
| Sportivo Ameliano | Draw | Club Libertad |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.63% Total : 28.16% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 13.59% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 43.42% |
How you voted: Ameliano vs Libertad
Sportivo Ameliano
66.7%Draw
13.3%Club Libertad
20.0%15
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2024 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Libertad
1-1
Ameliano
Espinoza (58')
Aguilar (59'), Caballero (62'), Fabian Fernandez Benitez (71')
Aguilar (59'), Caballero (62'), Fabian Fernandez Benitez (71')
Samudio (23')
Javier Baez (16'), Maiz (26'), Contrera (29'), Leonel Benitez (54'), Rossi (59')
Javier Baez (16'), Maiz (26'), Contrera (29'), Leonel Benitez (54'), Rossi (59')
Form Guide
