Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 24, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
![Club Libertad Club Libertad](https://sm.imgix.net/23/29/liblog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
U. Catolica1 - 1Libertad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Libertad 2-0 U. Catolica
Wednesday, July 17 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, July 17 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Universidad Catolica 0-0 Club Libertad (Club Libertad advance 2-0 on aggregate)
Having a two-goal cushion coming into this match should allow Club Libertad to focus on what they do best, play in a compact low block and hit their opponents on the counter. All tournament long, the Ecuadorians have struggled to produce much quality in the attacking third, and we expect they will be left frustrated on Wednesday against a side that are well-organised and disciplined on the backline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Universidad Catolica | Draw | Club Libertad |
51.07% (![]() | 25.14% (![]() | 23.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.73% (![]() | 52.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.03% (![]() | 73.96% (![]() |
Universidad Catolica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% (![]() | 20.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% (![]() | 52.94% (![]() |
Club Libertad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.1% (![]() | 36.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.31% (![]() | 73.68% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Universidad Catolica 51.07%
Club Libertad 23.79%
Draw 25.13%
Universidad Catolica | Draw | Club Libertad |
1-0 @ 11.98% 2-0 @ 9.5% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.47% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 51.07% | 1-1 @ 11.94% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.53% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 1.75% Total : 23.79% |
How you voted: U. Catolica vs Libertad
Universidad Catolica
41.7%Draw
25.0%Club Libertad
33.3%12
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2024 11pm
Round of 32 1st Leg
Libertad
2-0
U. Catolica
Cardozo (49'), Sanabria (74')
Caballero (42')
Caballero (42')
Nieto (26'), Rodriguez (33'), Grillo (82')
Mar 17, 2021 10.15pm
Second Round
Libertad
2-2
U. Catolica
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-12 15:00:06
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
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1 | Manchester CityMan City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
2 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
3 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
4 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Brentford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Aston Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Bournemouth | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
9 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
11 | Chelsea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
12 | Fulham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 |
19 | Southampton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
20 | Everton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 |
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