Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 46%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.37) 
