Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 18, 2022 at 11pm UK

Arena da Baixada

Athletico PR
2 - 0
Libertad

Cuello (56'), Canobbio (69')
Cuello (68'), Terans (80'), Henrique (81'), Canobbio (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomez (54'), Silva (55'), Barboza (80'), Caballero (81'), Mendieta (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Athletico Paranaense and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

Last Six:

Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Athletico PR vs. Libertad
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

We said: Athletico Paranaense 0-2 Club Libertad

Athletico Paranaense have had mixed results in this competition, but when they want to they are more than capable of securing a victory with the quality in their squad. Unfortunately for the hosts, Club Libertad have the potential to win the group in this game, and that alone should spur them on to achieve three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Club Libertad
50.02% ( -0.01)	24.15% ( -0.01)	25.83% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.33% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.53% (

0.03)

46.47% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.25% (

0.03)

68.75% (

-0.03)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.37% (

0.01)

18.62% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.07% (

0.01)

49.92% (

-0.02)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.99% (

0.03)

32.01% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.53% (

0.03)

68.47% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 50.01%

Club Libertad 25.83%

Draw 24.15%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.01%	1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.15%	0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.83%