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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Club Libertad
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 13, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Libertad
2 - 1
Caracas

Cardozo (3'), Melgarejo (34')
Merlini (30')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bonsu Osei (20')
Quijada (29'), Bonsu Osei (41'), Fereira (45+3'), Castillo (74')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Caracas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

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Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Athletico PR vs. Libertad
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Caracas

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Last Game: Athletico PR 5-1 Caracas
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Libertad in this match.

Result
Club LibertadDrawCaracas
43.99%23.96%32.05%
Both teams to score 60.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17%41.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77%64.22%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.75%19.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.03%50.97%
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7%25.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93%60.07%
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 43.99%
    Caracas 32.05%
    Draw 23.95%
Club LibertadDrawCaracas
2-1 @ 9.09%
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 43.99%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7.58%
0-1 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.05%

How you voted: Libertad vs Caracas

Club Libertad
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Caracas
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2020 11.15pm
Group H
Caracas
2-1
Libertad
Echeverria (48' pen.), Guarirapa (87')
Celis (37'), Flores (90+1')
Espinoza (44')
Abecasis (10'), Adorno (29'), Da Silva (49'), Mejia (88')
Mar 11, 2020 12.30am
Group H
Libertad
3-2
Caracas
Ferreira (19', 64'), Benitez (80')
Mejia (18'), Piris (62'), Benitez (81')
Blanco (27', 43')
Villanueva (39'), Hernandez (80')
Villanueva (75')
rhs 2.0
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