Libertad

3 - 1

Wilstermann

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 48.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Jorge Wilstermann win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.