Libertad

2 - 4

Medellin

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.