Liverpool

2 - 1

U. Catolica

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.