Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 27, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno3 - 1Monagas
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Cerro Porteno and Monagas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monagas 0-4 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, February 20 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 20 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Monagas win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Monagas |
| 48.78% | 25.74% ( 0.18) | 25.47% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.72% ( -0.81) | 53.27% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% ( -0.69) | 74.83% ( 0.69) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( -0.34) | 21.85% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.9% ( -0.51) | 55.09% ( 0.51) |
| Monagas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.03% ( -0.59) | 35.96% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.25% ( -0.61) | 72.74% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
Cerro Porteno 48.78%
Monagas 25.47%
Draw 25.74%
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Monagas |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.78% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.47% |
Form Guide
