Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 20, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
Monagas0 - 4Cerro Porteno
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Monagas and Cerro Porteno.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Friday, July 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, July 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Monagas had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Monagas win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monagas | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
30.11% ( -0.14) | 27.25% ( 0.05) | 42.64% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.71% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.51% ( -0.25) | 56.49% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.51% ( -0.2) | 77.49% ( 0.21) |
| Monagas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% ( -0.24) | 33.98% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.34% ( -0.26) | 70.66% ( 0.26) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( -0.07) | 26.21% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.7% ( -0.09) | 61.3% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Monagas 30.11%
Cerro Porteno 42.63%
Draw 27.25%
| Monagas | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.11% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.63% |
Form Guide
