Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield1 - 0Barcelona
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Barcelona SC |
| 42.86% | 23.15% | 33.98% |
| Both teams to score 64.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
