Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 19, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield2 - 1Union La Calera
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Union La Calera |
| 51.17% | 24.62% | 24.21% |
| Both teams to score 52.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
