Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 21, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Barcelona3 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (5.28%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona SC | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 40.58% | 22.92% | 36.5% |
| Both teams to score 65.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
