MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 05:00:23| >> :120:3819:3819:
Bragantino
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino
5 - 0
Oriente

Helinho (5'), Silva (15'), Sasha (33' pen.), Neves (62'), Vinicios (90+6')
Everton (74'), Everton (74')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Villagra (25'), Alvarez (35')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bragantino and Oriente Petrolero.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Bahia
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Oriente Petrolero

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Oriente 0-1 Estudiantes
Wednesday, April 5 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 10.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawOriente Petrolero
71.84% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12) 17.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 10.33% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 44.53% (0.327 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (0.229 0.23)44.74% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.222 0.22)67.1% (-0.221 -0.22)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.91% (0.031000000000006 0.03)11.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.52% (0.070999999999998 0.07)35.48% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Oriente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.09% (0.35 0.35)49.91% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.4% (0.243 0.24)84.6% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 71.83%
    Oriente Petrolero 10.33%
    Draw 17.83%
BragantinoDrawOriente Petrolero
2-0 @ 13.38% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 9.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.82% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.39% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.75% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 71.83%
1-1 @ 8.46% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.23% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 17.83%
0-1 @ 3.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 2.94% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 10.33%

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