Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Cerro Largo0 - 1Wanderers
Ramis (26'), Enrique (66'), Max (77'), Gianoli (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pais (63')
Pais (90+3')
Pais (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cerro Largo and Montevideo Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Montevideo City Torque | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 15 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 | Cerrito | 15 | -13 | 11 |
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Boston River
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | -2 | 20 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 35.41% | 25.34% | 39.26% |
| Both teams to score 56.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
