Cerro Largo
0 - 1
Wanderers

(Montevideo Wanderers win 3-1 on aggregate)

Ramis (26'), Enrique (66'), Max (77'), Gianoli (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pais (63')
Pais (90+3')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cerro Largo and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
35.41%	25.34%	39.26%

Both teams to score 56.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.68%

47.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.46%

69.55%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07%

25.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07%

60.93%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18%

23.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42%

58%

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 35.41%

Montevideo Wanderers 39.26%

Draw 25.34%

Cerro Largo	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.34% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.37% Total : 35.41%	1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.18% 2-2 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2% Total : 39.26%