Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes Merida win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes Merida win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Palestino win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.03) 
