Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado
Carabobo1 - 1Metropolitanos
Carlos Ortiz (64' pen.)
Apaolaza (19'), Merino (20'), Aponte (45+1')
Apaolaza (19'), Merino (20'), Aponte (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Metropolitanos win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Carabobo and Metropolitanos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Metropolitanos
Wednesday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carabobo win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carabobo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carabobo | Draw | Metropolitanos |
52.38% ( 0.08) | 26% ( -0.01) | 21.62% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.3% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
