Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 8, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Municipal Vinto1 - 2Wilstermann
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Municipal Vinto and Jorge Wilstermann.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Municipal Vinto win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Municipal Vinto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Jorge Wilstermann win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Municipal Vinto | Draw | Jorge Wilstermann |
| 44.15% | 26.48% | 29.37% |
| Both teams to score 50.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
