Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol3 - 0River Plate
Kagelmacher (22'), Torres (80' pen.), Canobbio (89')
Piquerez (24'), Canobbio (82'), Schiappacasse (90+1')
Piquerez (24'), Canobbio (82'), Schiappacasse (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dure (12'), Gimenez (19'), Sosa (47'), Acosta (76'), Navarro (90')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Penarol and River Plate.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | River Plate |
| 53.21% | 22.6% | 24.19% |
| Both teams to score 58.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
