Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 8, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Idalito Oliveira
River Plate4 - 2Guairena
Zeballos (15' pen.), Sebastian Gonzalez Cabral (19'), Godoy (36'), Caballero (85')
Sebastian Gonzalez Cabral (48')
Sebastian Gonzalez Cabral (48')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Brizuela Baez (41'), Verdun (87')
Candia (13'), Paniagua (43')
Candia (13'), Paniagua (43')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between River Plate and Guairena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Guairena had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Guairena win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Guairena |
| 41.16% | 24.57% | 34.27% |
| Both teams to score 58.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% | 43.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% | 66.38% |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% | 21.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.56% | 54.43% |
| Guairena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% | 25.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.32% | 59.68% |
| Score Analysis |
River Plate 41.16%
Guairena 34.27%
Draw 24.56%
| River Plate | Draw | Guairena |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.16% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.27% |
How you voted: River Plate vs Guairena
River Plate
50.0%Draw
16.7%Guairena
33.3%6
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2021 10.15pm
First Round
Guairena
1-2
River Plate
Gonzalez (51')
Toledo (25'), Daniel Nunez Gimenez (65'), Javier Bartomeus Viveros (73'), Manuel Parra (89')
Toledo (25'), Daniel Nunez Gimenez (65'), Javier Bartomeus Viveros (73'), Manuel Parra (89')
Zeballos (62'), Otazu (90+1')
Gabriel Torales Castillo (33')
Gabriel Torales Castillo (33')
