One month on from Paranaense's slender success on Libertad soil, we can envisage an identical scoreline at the top-left corner of the TV screen this week, as these two sides never seem to have many problems making the net ripple against one another. The visitors' league defeat at the weekend should not be taken at face value, but with the Hurricane needing no second invitation to assert their dominance at home, Turra's side can put one foot in the knockout stages on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Club Libertad
54.99% ( -0.05)	23.75% ( 0.01)	21.25% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.24% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.69% (

0.02)

49.3% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.64% (

0.02)

71.35% (

-0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.2% (

-0.01)

17.8% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.48% (

-0.02)

48.52% (

0.02)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.33% (

0.05)

37.66% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.55% (

0.05)

74.44% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 54.99%

Club Libertad 21.25%

Draw 23.75%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 54.99%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.75%	0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 21.25%