Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sol de America had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Sol de America win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.