Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
Catolica2 - 0Gremio
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Gremio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Gremio |
| 39.86% | 28.01% | 32.14% |
| Both teams to score 47.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
