Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.