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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 27, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
3 - 1
Bolivar

Albertengo (14', 47'), Sepulveda (45+3')
Sepulveda (43'), Baez (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Quinteros (64')
Miranda (15'), Villamil (45'), Justiniano (77'), Guitian (81')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Bolivar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawBolivar
53.81%25.73%20.45%
Both teams to score 44.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.37%57.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.61%78.39%
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5%21.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46%54.54%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.73%43.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.48%79.52%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 53.8%
    Bolivar 20.45%
    Draw 25.73%
Arsenal SarandiDrawBolivar
1-0 @ 14.29%
2-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 4.72%
4-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.8%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 9.3%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 7.79%
1-2 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.08%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.45%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2021 11.15pm
Group Stage
Bolivar
2-1
Arsenal
Fernandez (42'), Saavedra (61'), Bottinelli (90+3')
Candia (33'), Carabajal (74')
rhs 2.0
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4Arsenal126422112922
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12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
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