Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli3 - 1Bologna
Lucumi (1' og.), Akpa-Akpro (45+1'), Cambiaghi (68')
Parisi (27'), Henderson (66'), Bandinelli (87')
Parisi (27'), Henderson (66'), Bandinelli (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Empoli 1-1 Bologna
A closely-fought contest between two out-of-sorts sides is set to take place on Thursday with Empoli boasting the psychological edge considering their strong head-to-head record over Bologna. However, we believe that the visitors can follow up their draw with Juventus by picking up at least a point at the Stadio Carlo Castellani. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
33.83% ( -0.13) | 26.38% ( 0.11) | 39.79% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.63% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( -0.46) | 52.07% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( -0.4) | 73.8% ( 0.4) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( -0.31) | 29.17% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.89% ( -0.38) | 65.11% ( 0.38) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( -0.2) | 25.69% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.39% ( -0.27) | 60.61% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
Empoli 33.83%
Bologna 39.78%
Draw 26.37%
| Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.83% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.78% |
How you voted: Empoli vs Bologna
Empoli
29.9%Draw
28.4%Bologna
41.8%67
