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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Napoli logo

Bologna
2 - 2
Napoli

Ferguson (63'), De Silvestri (84')
Dominguez (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osimhen (14', 54')
Min-jae (39'), Rrahmani (66'), Bereszynski (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 1-5 Bologna
Saturday, May 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-1 Napoli

Napoli have been far less prolific since the start of April, and faced by a buoyant Bologna side that rarely loses at home they may have to settle for a point. The Rossoblu have come on in leaps and bounds since Thiago Motta was appointed, and they are not afraid of taking on Serie A's big boys. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-0 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BolognaDrawNapoli
20.27% (0.147 0.15) 26.04% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 53.69% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 43.5% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.14% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)58.85% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (-0.038 -0.04)79.36% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.81% (0.134 0.13)44.19% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.72% (0.108 0.11)80.28% (-0.104 -0.1)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (-0.105 -0.11)22.05% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (-0.161 -0.16)55.39% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 20.27%
    Napoli 53.68%
    Draw 26.04%
BolognaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.044 0.04)
2-1 @ 4.91% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.25% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.34% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 20.27%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 14.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 11.13% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 53.68%

How you voted: Bologna vs Napoli

Bologna
13.5%
Draw
17.3%
Napoli
69.2%
52
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 5pm
gameweek 10
Napoli
3-2
Bologna
Jesus (45'), Lozano (49'), Osimhen (69')
Zirkzee (41'), Barrow (51')
Dominguez (20')
Jan 17, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 22
Bologna
0-2
Napoli

Soumaoro (43'), Theate (57'), Binks (90+4')
Lozano (20', 47')
Zielinski (52')
Oct 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Napoli
3-0
Bologna
Fabian (18'), Insigne (41' pen., 62' pen.)
Zambo Anguissa (32')

Medel (40')
Mar 7, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Napoli
3-1
Bologna
Insigne (8', 76'), Osimhen (65')
Koulibaly (52'), Rui (85')
Soriano (73')
Nov 8, 2020 5pm
gameweek 7
Bologna
0-1
Napoli

Dominguez (25'), Larangeira (27'), Schouten (62')
Osimhen (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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