MX23RW : Friday, January 17 19:00:43| >> :600:2517150:2517150:
Monza
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 9, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 0
Sudtirol


Izzo (64'), Kiriakopoulos (81'), Sensi (89')
FT
(aet)

Arrigoni (36')
Monza win 9-8 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Coppa Italia clash between Monza and Sudtirol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 2-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-1 Palermo
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We say: Monza 1-0 Sudtirol

Although the risk of exiting to lower-league opponents again will put pressure on Monza, they have an experienced squad that should see off Sudtirol and progress to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
MonzaDrawSudtirol
58.9% (-0.1 -0.1) 22.44% (0.032 0.03) 18.66% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.23% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)47.25% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53% (-0.032 -0.03)69.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)15.7% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)44.76% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (0.053999999999995 0.05)39.23% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (0.052 0.05)75.94% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Monza 58.89%
    Sudtirol 18.66%
    Draw 22.43%
MonzaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 58.89%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.43%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.66%

How you voted: Monza vs Sudtirol

Monza
82.9%
Draw
17.1%
Sudtirol
0.0%
35
rhs 2.0
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