Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2024 at 5pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
2 - 0
Monza

Chiesa (26'), Sandro (28')
Yildiz (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Carboni (38'), Zerbin (67')
Zerbin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 3-3 Juventus
Monday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 0-1 Frosinone
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Putting the full stop on an uneven campaign, Juventus can take advantage of Monza's wilting form and finish the season with an overdue win. Then, a busy summer awaits the Bianconeri's new boss, who will be expected to get a well-paid squad back in contention for the Scudetto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Monza
62.82% ( 0.12)	21.28% ( -0.02)	15.89% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 49.36% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.1% (

-0.07)

46.89% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.85% (

-0.07)

69.15% (

0.07)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.68% (

0.01)

14.31% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.86% (

0.02)

42.14% (

-0.02)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.61% (

-0.17)

42.39% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.23% (

-0.14)

78.77% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Juventus 62.81%

Monza 15.89%

Draw 21.28%

Juventus	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 62.81%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.28%	0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 15.89%