Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Monza |
62.82% ( 0.12) | 21.28% ( -0.02) | 15.89% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.36% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.1% ( -0.07) | 46.89% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.85% ( -0.07) | 69.15% ( 0.07) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% ( 0.01) | 14.31% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.86% ( 0.02) | 42.14% ( -0.02) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.61% ( -0.17) | 42.39% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.23% ( -0.14) | 78.77% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 62.81% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.28% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 15.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |