Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 19, 2024 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 1
Frosinone

Bondo (28')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cheddira (9')
Soule (47'), Gelli (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Monza
Monday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 0-5 Inter Milan
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Excluding the hammering at the hands of Inter, Frosinone have typically been hard to beat since the March hiatus. However, wins have been hard to come by for Di Francesco's men, whose recent games against Monza across Serie A, Serie B and the Coppa Italia have resulted in one win in six, with four losses and a draw. A draw could be on the cards given the Biancorossi's seemingly diminished motivation and Frosinone's historical struggles in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Frosinone
44.13% ( -1.44)	24.2% ( 0.15)	31.67% ( 1.29)

Both teams to score 59.26% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.85% (

-0.11)

43.14% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.46% (

-0.11)

65.54% (

0.11)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.27% (

-0.66)

19.73% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.25% (

-1.07)

51.75% (

1.07)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

0.77)

26.17% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.74% (

1.02)

61.26% (

-1.02)

Score Analysis

Monza 44.13%

Frosinone 31.67%

Draw 24.2%

Monza	Draw	Frosinone
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.13%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.67%