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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 10, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
0 - 0
Modena

Napoli win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coppa Italia clash between Napoli and Modena, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last Game: Napoli 0-2 Girona
Saturday, August 3 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 2-2 Cagliari
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Napoli 2-0 Modena

 New-look Napoli have proved tough to score against in pre-season - perhaps no surprise given the identity of their new manager - and they should see off Modena's challenge this weekend. Mid-table finishers in Serie B last term, the visitors will not have enough guile to make the most of any rustiness in Antonio Conte's squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for Modena has a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Modena win it is 0-1 (4.49%).

Result
NapoliDrawModena
65.34% (-0.14 -0.14) 19.86% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 14.8% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.45% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22%42.78% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.7% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)12.29% (0.039 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.93% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)38.06% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66% (0.131 0.13)41.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (0.117 0.12)77.85% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 65.33%
    Modena 14.8%
    Draw 19.86%
NapoliDrawModena
2-0 @ 11.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 65.33%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.08%
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 19.86%
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.16% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 14.8%

How you voted: Napoli vs Modena

Napoli
92.5%
Draw
7.5%
Modena
0.0%
40
rhs 2.0
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