Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.