Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Lecce |
58.43% ( 0.17) | 22.2% ( -0.06) | 19.36% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.8% ( 0.1) | 45.19% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.46% ( 0.09) | 67.54% ( -0.1) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.85% ( 0.09) | 15.15% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.26% ( 0.17) | 43.74% ( -0.17) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% ( -0.06) | 37.27% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.95% ( -0.06) | 74.05% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 58.42% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.2% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |