Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 13.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monaco in this match.
