Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
25.01% | 24.46% | 50.53% |
Both teams to score 53.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.55% | 48.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.42% | 70.58% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% | 33.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.6% | 70.4% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% | 19.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.14% | 50.86% |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 7.03% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 3.82% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.01% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.82% 1-3 @ 5.28% 0-3 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.08% Total : 50.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |