Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Jan 23, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
3 - 2
Monaco

Wahi (13'), Mavididi (32', 90+1')
Mavididi (90+1'), Sambia (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ben Yedder (34'), Vanderson (82')
Henrique (10'), Aguilar (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-2 Monaco

Montpellier's task has been made even harder this weekend as Savanier watches on from the sidelines, with Dall'Oglio's side being given a harsh reality check following their abundance of festive joy. A home win versus a newly-promoted side may not be a perfect indicator of how Monaco will fare under Clement in the long term - especially given their barren run in front of goal away from home - but we still expect Clement's strong start to continue thanks to the deadly attacking duo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Monaco
25.01%	24.46%	50.53%

Both teams to score 53.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.55%

48.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.42%

70.58%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.26%

33.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.6%

70.4%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81%

19.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14%

50.86%

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 25.01%

Monaco 50.53%

Draw 24.45%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 7.03% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 3.82% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.29% Total : 25.01%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-2 @ 8.82% 1-3 @ 5.28% 0-3 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.08% Total : 50.53%