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Coupe de France | Round of 16
Jan 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Monaco

Lens
2 - 4
Monaco

Said (45'), Kalimuendo (53')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ben Yedder (18', 88'), Lucas (27'), Diop (29')
Golovin (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Lens and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Lens 1-1 Monaco (Monaco to win on penalties)

This tie is a tough one to call with both teams in mixed form and inseparable in the Ligue 1 standings. We can see it going all the way to penalties and are backing Monaco to come out on top in a shootout, thanks in part to Wissam Ben Yedder's expertise from the spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
LensDrawMonaco
35.62%25.59%38.78%
Both teams to score 55.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56%48.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42%70.57%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66%26.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53%61.47%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42%24.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93%59.06%
Score Analysis
    Lens 35.62%
    Monaco 38.78%
    Draw 25.59%
LensDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 35.62%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 9.08%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.78%

How you voted: Lens vs Monaco

Lens
36.1%
Draw
30.1%
Monaco
33.7%
83
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 3
Monaco
0-2
Lens

Kovac (57'), Pavlovic (83')
Golovin (86')
Ganago (51'), Banza (90+3')
Leca (61')
Doucoure (61')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lens
0-0
Monaco
Medina (74'), Clauss (82'), Cahuzac (82')
Volland (82'), Maripan (85')
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 15
Monaco
0-3
Lens

Pellegri (76'), Aguilar (89')
Disasi (23')
Sylla (1'), Banza (33'), Kakuta (39')
Gradit (9'), Doucoure (11'), Banza (30'), Mauricio (80')
Dec 2, 2014 8pm
rhs 2.0
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5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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