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Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Charles Massot
Montpellier

Le Puy
4 - 0
Montpellier

Zogba (43'), Pays (75'), Diebold (78'), Mayela (90')
Diebold (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Omeragic (53'), Fayad (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Le Puy F43 Auvergne and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Agde 1-5 Le Puy
Saturday, November 30 at 4pm in Coupe de France
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Nice
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Puy F43 Auvergne 0-1 Montpellier HSC

We are starting to see some positive signs at Montpellier, and though Le Puy have punched above their weight in this competition, we expect the visitors' newfound confidence will propel them into the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Le Puy F43 Auvergne had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Le Puy F43 Auvergne win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Le Puy F43 AuvergneDrawMontpellier HSC
37.54% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.75% (-0.055 -0.05) 37.71% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.68% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (0.253 0.25)44.47% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (0.245 0.25)66.84% (-0.246 -0.25)
Le Puy F43 Auvergne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (0.11699999999999 0.12)23.44% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56% (0.16999999999999 0.17)57.44% (-0.171 -0.17)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (0.139 0.14)23.35% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.68% (0.204 0.2)57.32% (-0.204 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Le Puy F43 Auvergne 37.55%
    Montpellier HSC 37.71%
    Draw 24.74%
Le Puy F43 AuvergneDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 8.38%
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.74%
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 37.71%

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