MX23RW : Friday, January 17 12:41:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 8, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Montpellier

Lens
2 - 0
Montpellier

Labeau (39'), Lecomte (90+1' og.)
Sotoca (79'), Samba (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Savanier (43'), Sagnan (71'), Tchato (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 0-2 Lens
Friday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Lille
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Montpellier HSC

Montpellier have fired blanks in four of their six away games this term, scoring three times and conceding 17. Despite Lens' inconsistency on home soil, they should claim a third victory at Stade Bollaert-Delelis at La Paillade's expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
58.9% (-0.743 -0.74) 22.07% (0.178 0.18) 19.03% (0.567 0.57)
Both teams to score 53.06% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87% (0.086999999999996 0.09)45.13% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (0.084000000000003 0.08)67.48% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.02% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)14.98% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.59% (-0.398 -0.4)43.41% (0.403 0.4)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.41% (0.679 0.68)37.59% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (0.655 0.66)74.37% (-0.651 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Lens 58.88%
    Montpellier HSC 19.03%
    Draw 22.07%
LensDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 58.88%
1-1 @ 10.45% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.51% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 19.03%

How you voted: Lens vs Montpellier

Lens
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Montpellier HSC
0.0%
30
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lens
2-2
Montpellier
Wahi (4'), Machado (45+3')
Maamma (58'), Mincarelli (74')
Khazri (90+5')
Dec 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Montpellier
0-0
Lens
Delaye (84'), Ferri (90+3')
Danso (12'), Frankowski (15'), Gradit (90+3')
Feb 25, 2023 8pm
Oct 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Lens
1-0
Montpellier
Said (67')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Lens
2-0
Montpellier
Costa (37'), Ganago (75')
Costa (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269


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