MX23RW : Monday, December 23 18:48:25| >> :600:155700:155700:
Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals
Feb 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Charles Massot
Rennes

Le Puy
1 - 3
Rennes

Adinany (61')
Dief (49'), Diakhabi (53'), Piechocki (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Theate (9'), Bourigeaud (49' pen., 82')
Matusiwa (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coupe de France clash between Le Puy F43 Auvergne and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Le Puy 2-1 Laval
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France
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Last Game: PSG 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 25 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Puy F43 Auvergne 0-5 Rennes

As inspiring as Le Puy's Coupe de France journey has been, Vieira's men are yet to test their mettle against top-tier opposition, and the fourth-tier charges could therefore be in for a harsh reality check on Thursday. Even an out-of-sorts Rennes side would have little trouble putting the hosts to the sword, but with Stephan's men impressing in Ligue 1 and also hitting Sochaux for six in the last 16, things could get ugly for Le Puy on Thursday as Les Rouges et Noir surge into the semis. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Le Puy F43 Auvergne had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Le Puy F43 Auvergne win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Le Puy F43 AuvergneDrawRennes
18.07% (0.101 0.1) 22.85% (0.267 0.27) 59.08% (-0.369 -0.37)
Both teams to score 48.93% (-0.613 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.922 -0.92)49.77% (0.919 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (-0.831 -0.83)71.77% (0.82900000000001 0.83)
Le Puy F43 Auvergne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.61% (-0.422 -0.42)41.39% (0.41999999999999 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.1% (-0.376 -0.38)77.9% (0.374 0.37)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.446 -0.45)16.51% (0.445 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (-0.811 -0.81)46.24% (0.808 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Le Puy F43 Auvergne 18.07%
    Rennes 59.07%
    Draw 22.84%
Le Puy F43 AuvergneDrawRennes
1-0 @ 6.03% (0.155 0.16)
2-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 2.66% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.07%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.252 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 12.3% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 11.08% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.66% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.87% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-4 @ 3% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.64% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.08% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 59.07%

How you voted: Le Puy vs Rennes

Le Puy F43 Auvergne
21.1%
Draw
8.8%
Rennes
70.2%
57
rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
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5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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