Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Dec 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier2 - 2Lille
Sylla (45+2'), Nordin (90+3')
Maksimovic (9'), Gasset (10'), Tchato (35'), Savanier (52'), Sagnan (83')
Gasset (87'), Coulibaly (90+9')
Maksimovic (9'), Gasset (10'), Tchato (35'), Savanier (52'), Sagnan (83')
Gasset (87'), Coulibaly (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
David (44' pen., 54' pen.)
Mukau (26'), Alexsandro (47'), Cabella (52'), Fernandez Pardo (89'), Arnar Haraldsson (90+13')
Bakker (90+9')
Mukau (26'), Alexsandro (47'), Cabella (52'), Fernandez Pardo (89'), Arnar Haraldsson (90+13')
Bakker (90+9')
We said: Montpellier HSC 0-2 Lille
Montpellier have struggled this season and a team of Lille's calibre may be too much for them to handle. Lille are missing a number of players, but they should still have the necessary firepower to handle Montpellier and pick up all three points on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
21.58% ( -0.29) | 23.73% ( 0.62) | 54.69% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -2.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% ( -2.97) | 48.81% ( 2.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% ( -2.76) | 70.91% ( 2.75) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% ( -1.95) | 37.06% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.15% ( -1.99) | 73.84% ( 1.98) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.27% ( -1.21) | 17.73% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.6% ( -2.12) | 48.39% ( 2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC 21.58%
Lille 54.68%
Draw 23.72%
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.58% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.77)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.92) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.43)1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.55% Total : 54.68% |
How you voted: Montpellier vs Lille
Montpellier HSC
13.7%Draw
15.7%Lille
70.6%51
