Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
39.27% ( 0.81) | 25.4% ( -0.18) | 35.33% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 56.21% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.4% ( 0.77) | 47.6% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.2% ( 0.71) | 69.8% ( -0.7) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.06% ( 0.77) | 23.94% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.83% ( 1.09) | 58.17% ( -1.08) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.9% ( 0.01) | 26.11% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.84% ( 0.01) | 61.17% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |