Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 84.97%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Olympique d'Ales had a probability of 4.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.26%) and 0-4 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.91%), while for a Olympique d'Ales win it was 1-0 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.